Week 5 Trends: Favorites Falter in NFL 2025
Week 5 of the 2025 NFL season saw favorites struggle, per Spreadspoke’s dataset ($24.99/year, weekly updates). With data from nfl_2025.csv, we analyze this shift. Data is for research only—see our footer for responsible gambling resources.
Week 5 Overview
Week 5 featured 13 games, with favorites covering only 38.5% of spreads, a notable drop from prior weeks.
Data Analysis: Favorite Performance
Key games from Week 5:
| Game | Favorite | Spread | Result | ATS Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET @ MIN | MIN | -6.5 | 28-27 | DET covers |
| GB @ LAR | LAR | -3 | 24-21 | GB covers |
Favorites covered just 5 of 13 games (38.5%).
Chart: ATS Performance
The chart shows the ATS success rate for favorites in Week 5.
Historical Context
Favorites cover 55% historically in Week 5 (1966–2024), making 2025 an outlier.
Key Takeaways
- Underdog Surge: Bet on underdogs with spreads <7.
- Favorite Risk: Avoid large spreads on favorites.
- Data Updates: Join for weekly CSV updates.
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